Mesothelioma

According to the research, an existing model developed by the auditing firm KPMG gave the peak of However, Dr Clements said their own epidemiological model showed that the peak could occur as late as 2017 and see 6430 cases of the deadly disease in NSW men.

“There is reasonable evidence that the peak of This has far reaching consequences for actuarial predictions, where the number of cases out to 2060 may be in excess of 35 per cent higher than the number predicted by KPMG’s model,” he said.

“It is unclear why the two models give different results.

The KPMG modeling may have been influenced by a common belief that peak incidence would be in 2010; in contrast, our epidemiological model is able to predict the peak for incidence.

“Although these results have i...

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