Mesothelioma

"The pattern for Dr Clements' epidemiological model suggests the peak could happen as late as 2017 and see 6430 cases of the deadly disease in NSW men.

“There is reasonable evidence that the peak of "This has far reaching consequences for actuarial predictions, where the number of cases out to 2060 may be in excess of 35 per cent higher than the number predicted by KPMG’s model." “It is unclear why the two models give different results.

The KPMG modeling may have been influenced by a common belief that peak incidence would be in 2010; in contrast, our epidemiological model is able to predict the peak for incidence." “Although these results have implications for liability, there are several steps between predicting Dr Clements said he could not speculate as to the revised level of liability.

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