Mesothelioma

Doctor Mark Clements from the Australian National University (ANU) says the revised model may mean there will need to be more money set aside for compensation.

"There's a very strong possibility - I think it's the level of increase that the actuaries would have to answer," he said.

Dr Clements presented his findings at an accident compensation seminar in Melbourne today.

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until she won’t.

It is no surprise that every one of us has an opinion on the Edwardses’ choices.

Not just Rush Limbaugh, who accused the Edwardses of turning their eyes to the campaign instead of God.

Not just ‘‘Toddo11,’’ who blogged, ‘‘How is he supposed to take care of his country when he doesn’t even take care of his family?

’’ Not just the 12,000 who e-mailed Elizabeth encouraging words in the first days after their announcement.

We each have an opinion on whether continuing a campaign shows courage or denial.

On whether quitting would show acceptance or defeat.

We have an opinion on whether children need wings or a cocoon.

Our views about facing cancer are as varied - and conflicted - as the eulogies of its victims: She fought every inch of the way.

She accepted it with grace.

The truth is that the Edwardses made their decision the way we all do.

We make choices based on who we are and what we believe and what is important to us.

It is not simply a mathematical equation, it is a narrative.

It’s not just a matter of medical calculation, it contains the arc of memoir.

Advertisement Elizabeth’s decision is at one with her character, steeled through the death of her son, the birth of two more children, the refusal to be a victim, and the fierce determination to write her legacy.

Her husband’s decision says less about unbridle...

A previous model developed by the auditing firm KPMG estimated that the number of It predicted 3,530 cases among NSW men between 2006 and 2060.

But the new analysis by Dr Mark Clements, from the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, predicts that 6,430 cases of the fatal disease would be recorded over that period, and it won't peak until as late as 2017.

"This has far reaching consequences for actuarial predictions, where the number of cases out to 2060 may be in excess of 35 per cent higher than the number predicted by KPMG's model," Dr Clements said.

The increase was based on changes on exposure levels and would therefore have implications for other asbestos-related diseases like asbestosis, lung cancer and pleural disorders.

He said it was unclear why the two models give different results, but it might be that the earlier picture was influenced by the common belief that peak incidence would be in 2010.

The diseases have been the subject of a large-scale compensation deal involving the building company James Hardie.

The researcher said the new prediction will have implications for liability c...